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Predicting the World Cup Soccer 2014

Steenhuis, D. (2014) Predicting the World Cup Soccer 2014. Bachelor's Thesis, Mathematics.

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Abstract

Every four years there is a lot of speculation about who will win the World Cup soccer. This thesis approaches the World Cup in a statistical way, and will state the winning chances of each team based on historical data. For these predictions we have used three different models. Firstly there is the Bradley-Terry model, with a modification of Davidson. Secondly we used a Generalized Linear Model (GLM) and small modification of that, the so called Generalized Linear Mixed Model (GLMM). With the use of these models we have tried to predict the outcome of the World Cup, but football remains a very unpredictable game.

Item Type: Thesis (Bachelor's Thesis)
Degree programme: Mathematics
Thesis type: Bachelor's Thesis
Language: English
Date Deposited: 15 Feb 2018 07:58
Last Modified: 15 Feb 2018 07:58
URI: http://fse.studenttheses.ub.rug.nl/id/eprint/11987

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