Conti, Andres (2021) A Hybrid Modelling approach for simulating the diffusion of COVID-19 and how it affects patient levels at healthcare facilities. Integration Project, Industrial Engineering and Management.
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Abstract
COVID-19 is an infectious disease that has had a massive impact across the entire world and should not be taken lightly. Many countries have had immense increases in cases which have resulted in the collapse of healthcare facilities; consequently, leading to deaths due to unavailability of capacity for treatment of infected individuals. This report studies the diffusion of the disease along with its respective effect on accumulation levels of patients at healthcare facilities through the use of a real world hybrid model. The model itself makes use of a modified SEIR model that differentiates between regular and severely infected individuals which is used to feed agents (patients) into the second model which simulates patient flows within a hospital. The results obtained from experimentation highlighted the significant impact that changing the number of contacts has on the accumulation numbers at the hospital as well as the amount of deaths. The other results highlighted the lower impact of varying infectivity, and the approximate amount of beds required in order to avoid any casualties due to lack of resources.
| Item Type: | Thesis (Integration Project) |
|---|---|
| Supervisor name: | Hubl, A. and Mohebbi, M. |
| Degree programme: | Industrial Engineering and Management |
| Thesis type: | Integration Project |
| Language: | English |
| Date Deposited: | 14 Jun 2021 13:18 |
| Last Modified: | 14 Jun 2021 13:19 |
| URI: | https://fse.studenttheses.ub.rug.nl/id/eprint/24552 |
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