Geerdink, E. (2014) Modeling the induced earthquakes in Groningen as a Poisson process using GLM and GAM. Bachelor's Thesis, Mathematics.
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Abstract
The province of Groningen has been dealing with seismicity since 1991 due to gas extraction. In recent years the number of earthquakes has increased steadily, and perhaps an even stronger reason for concern is the upward trend of maximum magnitudes. The largest earthquake to date occurred near Huizinge on August 16, 2012, with a moment magnitude of 3.6 and caused considerable damage and worry among the population. A reliable estimate of an upper bound for magnitudes is yet to be determined. We developed a stochastic model for the earthquakes in Groningen using publicly available data. Assuming that the occurrences of events can be described by a Poisson process, inference is made on the inter-arrival times using Generalized Linear and Additive Models. The results of this research include hazard maps of the Groningen Field.
| Item Type: | Thesis (Bachelor's Thesis) |
|---|---|
| Degree programme: | Mathematics |
| Thesis type: | Bachelor's Thesis |
| Language: | English |
| Date Deposited: | 15 Feb 2018 07:57 |
| Last Modified: | 15 Feb 2018 07:57 |
| URI: | https://fse.studenttheses.ub.rug.nl/id/eprint/11933 |
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