The effectiveness of travel restricting measures against COVID-19

Venema, Tom (2021) The effectiveness of travel restricting measures against COVID-19. Research Project, Industrial Engineering and Management.

Preview	Text mIEM_2021_VenemaTW.pdf Download (3MB) | Preview
	Text toestemming.pdf Restricted to Registered users only Download (440kB)

Abstract

The recent COVID-19 pandemic leads to global social and economic disruption. Decision-makers continuously face the challenge of choosing the right mitigating strategies to fight the pandemic. One strategy that is still not fully understood is the effectiveness of implementing travel restrictions at the early stage of the spreading. Therefore, this report simulates different travel restricting measures and evaluates their effectiveness. The simulation is done by creating a novel metapopulation SIDARE model. This model captures the effect of travel on the spreading of COVID-19 in the Netherlands and is able to describe the evolution of the pandemic accurately. It is found that travel restricting measures on themselves delays, but not mitigates, infections. Moreover, the most effective way to implement travel restrictions is regional, in the province where the initial infection occurred. When 99 $\%$ of the travel from and to that region is reduced, a delay of 48 days on the national infection peak can be achieved. Finally, the usefulness of this delay is studied by combining travel restricting measures with different vaccination strategies. It is found that travel restricting measures can be used to increases the potential lives saved by vaccinating.

Item Type:	Thesis (Research Project)
Supervisor name:	Monshizadeh Naini, N. and Cao, M.
Degree programme:	Industrial Engineering and Management
Thesis type:	Research Project
Language:	English
Date Deposited:	13 Oct 2022 12:48
Last Modified:	13 Oct 2022 12:48
URI:	https://fse.studenttheses.ub.rug.nl/id/eprint/24134

Actions (login required)

View Item