Mishra, Siddhanta (2023) The Effect of Change in Temperature and Rainfall upon the Spread of Malaria. Bachelor's Thesis, Applied Mathematics.
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Abstract
This thesis attempts to understand the relation between the changes in the temperature and rainfall, and the spread of malaria. This will be carried out by first introducing a multi-layered SIR model, with a layer looking at a constant human population, while the second would look at the fluctuating mosquito population. This fluctuation would be defined using the factors of temperature and rainfall. Finally, a programme would be constructed to simulate the model based on temperature and rainfall. Using this programme and the data in regard to both of the previously stated factors, simulations of the countries Libya, the Central African Republic, and South Africa for the years 2001, 2011, 2021 will be carried out. After a comparison between the predicted number of cases and actual number of cases, we will look to methods to improve the model by the inclusion of human efforts that alter various factors concerning the mosquito population and its interaction with the human population.
| Item Type: | Thesis (Bachelor's Thesis) |
|---|---|
| Supervisor name: | Peypouquet, J.G. and Camlibel, M.K. |
| Degree programme: | Applied Mathematics |
| Thesis type: | Bachelor's Thesis |
| Language: | English |
| Date Deposited: | 31 Jul 2023 09:30 |
| Last Modified: | 07 Aug 2023 09:02 |
| URI: | https://fse.studenttheses.ub.rug.nl/id/eprint/30383 |
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